168 10 target points 30 target points Figure 4 – The target points detected by the Return-Risk method 4. CONCLUSIONS The Return–Risk decision-making framework provides a flexible and user-friendly approach that allows decision-makers—even those without a geological background—to evaluate target areas by integrating both frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. By jointly considering exploration “Return” and the uncertainty-related “Risk,” the method supports more balanced and defensible selections of priority areas for follow-up sampling, drilling, and broader exploration activities. It also enables operators to tailor the final target selection to real-world constraints such as budget, time, personnel, and logistical limitations. In the present case study, the outcomes of the Return–Risk analysis were independently reviewed and validated by the Geological Survey team, confirming the geological plausibility of the identified targets. Although the project remains ongoing, the preliminary results demonstrate the practical value and robustness of this approach, and additional details will be reported as the study progresses.
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