2267 Table 8 – Power Demand Projection - Southern Node (MW). Year Veg. Demand (MW) New Mining Projects (Accum. MW) Total Demand Base Scenario (MW) Gap vs. Current Supply (MW) Key Period Milestones 2026 1,450 0 1,450 0 Start Achumani Study / Ilo Expansion 2031 1,698 +380 2,078 628 Entry Zafranal, San Gabriel, Tía María 2036 1,988 +550 2,538 1,088 Entry Los Calatos, Pampa de Pongo 2041 2,328 +750 3,078 1,628 Mining Fleet Electrification (CAEX) 2046 2,726 +950 3,676 2,226 Southern Green Hydrogen Hub Source: Own elaboration based on projections from the Committee of Economic Operation of the System (COES) and the 2025 Mining Investment Portfolio (MINEM) Figure 4 – Projected Demand by Components (2026-2046). Blue bars represent vegetative base demand. Orange bars quantify the incremental impact of new mining projects. The black line illustrates the total aggregated demand trend (Source: Own elaboration based on COES & MINEM).
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