● How do communities perceive risks and benefits of change? Do cultura and social norms support adoption, or are there conflicts with formal/informal rules? ● Who are the norm influencers or leaders who can legitimize change – and who can veto it? Could incentives be captured by elites or gatekeepers? ● Does the project team have the capacity to monitor behavioural change and adapt strategies? Early implementatio ● Are behaviour changes occurring and spreading within social networks? Are there network effects accelerating diffusion, or fragmentation that stalls it? Are there unintended consequences or leakage (including shifts to illegal markets)? Midline ● Are changes sustained? Are leakage or displacement risks eroding net gains? ● Are illicit networks exerting continued pressure on behaviours? Endline/Close ● Did behaviour change persist and aggregate to desired outcomes? C) Impact & Scalability Key assumption: Project interventions can deliver social benefits at sufficient scale an duration to offset the socio-economic costs of transition, while supporting ecological recovery Underlying assumptions: ● Transition costs and socio-economic impacts are identified early, remain manageabl and are offset through timely and adequate compensation or support measures. ● Support mechanisms effectively reach those most vulnerable to adverse project impac and generate benefits that scale from individuals to communities and across the wid landscape. The table below outlines the key questions to ask and the information to collect at each stage of the project to test these assumptions: Phase Key Questions Pre-feasibility and feasibility ● How many people could be adversely affected by the project? What is the level of community dependency on natural resources? ● Which households or locations bear the highest transition costs? What economic opportunities or alternative livelihoods exist? ● How accessible are affected communities? Does the project team have the logistical and organizational capacity to deploy support mechanisms at scale? 80
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